New Build, Same Screen

On 11 September 2026, four construction and property bodies released modelling of the government's housing tax package. It puts new home starts 10,700 lower over the next four years. Treasury's number for the same budget package runs the other way: a net 30,000 more homes over ten years. The rent forecasts are five times apart, about $10 a week against about $2.

There's a version of Brisbane's supply story that fits neatly into a single stat: approvals at a decade high, a council relaxing height limits, a federal government promising 1.2 million homes. Read only the top line of each and the story is simple — more homes are coming.